UB expert's election forecasting model predicts big House gains for Dems

James Campbell.

James Campbell

Published September 5, 2018 This content is archived.

Democrats could gain as many as 44 seats and emerge from November’s mid-term elections with control in the House of Representatives, according to an innovative forecasting tool developed by a political scientist.

Republicans, meantime, are likely to pick up an additional two Senate seats and preserve their majority in the upper house of Congress.

“The midterm election’s outcome will play a major role in policy-making and the politics leading up to the presidential election of 2020,” says James Campbell, UB Distinguished Professor of Political Science and creator of the Seats-in-Trouble model.