UB expert's election forecasting model predicts big House gains for Dems

Democrats could gain as many as 44 seats and emerge from November’s mid-term elections with control in the House of Representatives, according to an innovative forecasting tool developed by a political scientist.

Republicans, meantime, are likely to pick up an additional two Senate seats and preserve their majority in the upper house of Congress.

“The midterm election’s outcome will play a major role in policy-making and the politics leading up to the presidential election of 2020,” says James Campbell, UB Distinguished Professor of Political Science and creator of the Seats-in-Trouble model.