James E. Campbell


James Campbell.

James E. Campbell


James E. Campbell


Scholarly Interests

American macropolitics; political polarization; campaigns and elections; voting behavior; American political parties; election forecasting; public opinion; empirical democratic theory; political participation; presidential politics; electoral systems


James E. Campbell is a UB Distinguished Professor of political science at the University at Buffalo. He is the author of four university press books and more than 80 journal articles and book chapters. His most recent book is Polarized: Making Sense of a Divided America (Princeton University Press). His other books include The American Campaign: U.S. Presidential Campaigns and the National Vote (Texas A&M, 2000 and 2008), Cheap Seats: The Democratic Party’s Advantage in U.S. House Elections (Ohio State, 1996), and The Presidential Pulse of Congressional Elections (Kentucky, 1993 and 1997). He also co-edited Before the Vote and edited thirteen journal symposia on election forecasting. He has served as Chair of the Political Forecasting Group (APSA), as President of Pi Sigma Alpha (the national political science honor society), as a Congressional Fellow of the American Political Science Association, and as a program director of the Political Science Program at the National Science Foundation. He has been a member of six editorial boards of political science journals and seven executive councils of political science organizations. Prior to joining the UB faculty in 1998, he was on the faculties of the University of Georgia from 1980 to 1988 and Louisiana State University from 1988 to 1998. He was Chair of UB’s Department of Political Science from 2006 to 2012.


  • PhD, Syracuse University
  • MA, Syracuse University
  • AB, Bowdoin College, summa cum laude

Current Research

Polarized: Making Sense of a Divided America, Princeton University Press, 2016 (and paperback with a new Afterword in 2018). Selected as one of Choice’s Outstanding Academic Titles for 2016.

Courses Taught

  • PSC 306 – The American Presidency
  • PSC 320 – Public Opinion
  • PSC 344 – Presidential Campaigns
  • PSC 376 – Politics and Money
  • PSC 436 – Citizen Participation
  • PSC 490 – Honors Seminar: Political Polarization in America
  • PSC 495 – Senior Seminar: American Macropolitics
  • PSC 505 – Seminar on American Politics
  • PSC 536 – American Political Parties
  • PSC 665 – Voting & Public Opinion
  • PSC 664 – The American Presidency
  • PSC 761 – American Political Frontiers: Campaign Finance Reform
  • PSC 761 – American Political Frontiers: American Macropolitics

Selected Publications

  • “The Seats-in-Trouble Forecasts of the 2018 Midterm Congressional Elections,”PS: Political Science & Politics, forthcoming.  
  • “The Trial-Heat and Seats-in-Trouble Forecasts of the 2016 Presidential and Congressional Elections,” PS: Political Science & Politics, v.49, n.4 (October 2016), pp.664-68.
  • “The Republican Wave of 2014: The Continuity of the 2012 and 2014 Elections,” The Forum: A Journal of Applied Research in Contemporary Politics, v.12, n.4 (December 2014), pp.609-26.
  • “The Seats-in-Trouble Forecast of the 2014 Midterm Congressional Elections,” PS: Political Science & Politics, v.47, n.4  (October 2014), pp.779-81.

See Prof. Campbell's personal webpage for more publications and data.

Last updated, 9/5/18.